tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post3414490621270886127..comments2024-03-28T20:09:43.455-04:00Comments on Touch the Banner: Michigan 52, Appalachian State 14Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger52125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-11340799406752254012014-09-11T12:58:54.495-04:002014-09-11T12:58:54.495-04:00The NFL drafts on who they think COULD be better, ...The NFL drafts on who they think COULD be better, not necessarily who IS better. They make no secret of that. The Giants thought he was worth drafting as a late round flyer. Well great, now that they've seen him play RB, they don't think he's worth keeping on the roster. Basically the same story at Michigan. Has talent, has potential - can't play, doesn't produce.<br /><br />There is obviously a correlation between draft position and player quality. But if you're talking about 7th round picks who don't pan out vs undrafted practice squad guys -- the difference can just be one guy having seen a glimmer of potential. For all we know, they liked him to play special teams. <br /><br />Furthermore, the NFL is a different league. Great college players don't necessarily translate to the NFL because of size. David Molk was a great college player, but is not a good NFL player. Ben Braden might make a better NFL player than college player.<br /><br />Once a guy fails, his draft position becomes moot. Brady Quinn. Alkili Smith. Cox got a shot. More of a shot than McGuffie and Smith, sure. Those guys had size limitations that make being an NFL player an uphill battle. <br /><br />The point is: those guys were better than Cox in college and Cox did nothing in the NFL to prove college coaches wrong (or you right.)<br /><br />Cox is more talented, as evidenced by coach comments and him getting drafted. The debate is not about talent. Cox is not a better running back. Arguing otherwise is casting aside all available evidence - he played less than them, he produced less than them.<br /><br />(BTW, I was right with you on Cox, thinking he deserved to play more early on. His talent was evident. But as the years went on, I changed my mind and assumed there were legitimate reasons why he never got off the bench.)Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-51178055735198422892014-09-10T22:04:35.860-04:002014-09-10T22:04:35.860-04:00You can't just say "your evidence doesn&#...You can't just say "your evidence doesn't matter because I have deemed it so."<br /><br />You say that Cox sucked and that the only reason he got drafted and made the team was because the Giants were decimated by injuries. Fine. Let's assume that's true.<br /><br />Who else was available to be picked in the 7th round of that 2013 NFL Draft by the Giants? Hmmm...let's see...Sam McGuffie and Vincent Smith. Yep. Both of them were seniors that year. They were both passed over in favor of Cox. If the Giants desperately needed running backs, then why wouldn't they choose McGuffie or Smith if they were better? It's probably because the Giants didn't think McGuffie and Smith were better than Cox.<br /><br />That whole line of thinking doesn't dovetail with reality. I don't know what your point is by saying "The Giants needed running backs." Well, yeah. That's why they drafted a running back. I need food, so I eat food. If I have a choice, I will choose a grilled chicken breast over Spam, because the grilled chicken is better. I don't just close my eyes and pick randomly when those are the choices. The Giants decided that Michael Cox was a chicken breast, and they also decided that Sam McGuffie, Vincent Smith, and numerous other UFA running backs were Spam.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-1660625985305987602014-09-10T15:00:56.178-04:002014-09-10T15:00:56.178-04:00Only if you ignore context completely. The Giants ...Only if you ignore context completely. The Giants were decimated at RB in consecutive years. They probably gave carries to 20 guys in a two year span. Most were bad. If the Packers (or whoever McGuffie is on) lose a half dozen players at his position, McGuffie may play too. Doesn't mean he is an NFL-caliber player.<br /><br />This year, Cox didn't make the team. He got a shot because he has talent. Talent isn't the question here, it's performance and production. <br /><br />Cox has never been successful. Not at Michigan, not at UMass, not in the NFL. He is a practice squad player, just like McGuffie. <br /><br />McGuffie was successful at Rice, has been on NFL practice squads (just not on attrition-laden teams), and played at Michigan, more than Cox ever did.<br /><br />I say this not to trumpet the awesomeness of McGuffie but to point out that a hypothetical McGuffie-loving Michigan blogger could make a case of "see I was right all along, he was good at Rice and is still floating around NFL practice squads". Said blogger would sound kind of silly talking about how his McGuffie-touting proves he's good at evaluating RBs. <br /><br />This Cox got drafted thing is the equivalent of saying "I was right to say Kevin Grady is a good RB" because he is better than Max Martin, on the basis of recruiting rankings and scholarship offers. Grady had more talent maybe, but neither is good RB. It's a ridiculous argument. [Please don't point to real stats here because my point is just that they both kinda suck.]<br /><br />Another comparison is pointing to some Iowa walk-on who ended up getting carries after all their backs got hurt. Doesn't prove they are better than the guy who got a scholarship at Northern Iowa and didn't do anything. Both suck.<br /><br />Cox is not good and he deserved to sit on the bench at Michigan. You were wrong about Cox being a good RB, 'relatively' or objectively. He didn't play here in 4 years and then he stunk everywhere else he went afterward. You ignored the negative practice rumblings at Michigan, you make excuses for meager production at UMass, and you ignore his situation (and lack of production) in the NFL. <br /><br />Putting aside confirmation bias, Cox is an argument AGAINST your judgment on RBs, not for it. It points to a myopic view of the position, just as the Shaw/Smith debate does.<br /><br />Your argument would be stronger if you clamored for Denard to play RB. He has the talent to be the best RB Michigan has had in the NFL since at least Hart and could even end up more successful than anyone since the 90s. You thought he should be a WR (IIRC), the NFL disagrees, and so did Michigan when he couldn't throw.<br /><br />Re: Denard. My point about speed was that you knew enough to make SOME evaluation of him, in response to you saying you couldn't see enough film to rank him ahead of Toussaint as an offensive player. You knew enough to say something.<br /><br />I think what you view as "speaking for itself" is really "speaking to myself".<br /><br />...which is probably what both you and I are doing at this point, so it's time to end this, I do think. Thanks for discussing.<br />Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-54834506498658518772014-09-10T13:37:26.833-04:002014-09-10T13:37:26.833-04:00re: Denard Robinson. Yes, I called him the fastest...re: Denard Robinson. Yes, I called him the fastest recruit. He was a track star and reportedly had a 4.3-ish forty. Why wouldn't I call him the fastest recruit?<br /><br />re: Derrick Green. He averaged 3.3 yards/carry last year (IIRC), while others had more. The OL was terrible, and he came in overweight. How would I know that he would show up to fall camp at 240-245 lbs. when he was reportedly down to 225 as a senior in high school? Now he's in better shape, and he's a better runner than he was in 2013. I can only evaluate what I see on film. I can't always predict if a guy is going to flunk out of school, sucker punch a bar patron in the jaw, or be a fatty.<br /><br />re: Mike Cox and Sam McGuffie. I'm pretty much done arguing my case for Cox. In the U.S. of A., the be-all-end-all is the NFL. NFL coaches and general managers decided to draft Cox, and they decided to let McGuffie go undrafted. They decided to put Cox on an active roster, and they decided to keep McGuffie on a practice squad for a bit. You can compare Rice's established (albeit mediocre) program to UMass's first-year FBS offense if you want, but I think that's a silly comparison.<br /><br />Of all the running backs on Michigan's roster during Mike Cox's time in Ann Arbor (Shaw, Minor, McGuffie, Smith, Hopkins, Toussaint, whoever else), the guy that I clamored for most was Cox. Out of those 6+ guys, the only one to get drafted and/or make a regular season NFL roster was Cox. I don't really need to make this argument. The information speaks for itself.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-91382484359781267622014-09-10T13:21:03.968-04:002014-09-10T13:21:03.968-04:00This reflects a good summary of what I think your ...This reflects a good summary of what I think your position on Green was.<br /><br />You wrote:<br /><br />ThunderFebruary 12, 2013 at 12:23 PM<br /><br />I was reserved in my initial judgment of Green, but he improved a lot from his junior to senior year. I also did that study of #1 rated tailbacks, and when you combine that with the offensive line Michigan is bringing in, you almost have to expect that he'll turn into a high NFL draft pick unless he's a head case like Bryce Brown.<br /><br />Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-15781462761177496972014-09-10T13:17:11.488-04:002014-09-10T13:17:11.488-04:00Back to Cox...
I don't see how Cox's perf...Back to Cox...<br /><br />I don't see how Cox's performance at UMass proves that he was better RB than Smith or McGuffie. Good ball-carrier, bad RB. That's what we saw at Michigan. <br /><br />Part of why Umass had a crappy offense was Cox. Part of why Rice's offense wasn't crappy is McGuffie.<br /><br />McGuffie was and probably still is a better RB than Cox. He played over Cox at Michigan and he was more productive after transferring than Cox. Neither guy has done anything as pro worth touting. It's splitting hairs really, because both guys are far from great. But you're asserting Cox is superior based on what?...getting drafted in the 7th round by the RB depleted Giants, I guess?<br /><br />Whereas Cox is a good runner and a bad running back. Smith is a bad runner who is a quality college running back.<br /><br />Smith played ahead of Cox under Rodriguez and he played ahead of Shaw (who you argued was clearly superior to Smith) under Hoke. So that's two coaching staffs that endorsed him over guys you wanted to play. Again, I don't see how Cox or Smith prove you right at all. <br /><br />You keep asserting that Smith is inferior but two Michigan coaching staffs disagree with you, at least relative to the other guys you preferred (except for Fitz, who I don't think anyone had a problem seeing more carries). That you keep calling Smith a bad RB compared to guys who sat behind him just seems like denying reality at this point.<br /><br />----<br /><br />For Green, you've used the OL excuse before. again, I'll point out that he had an inferior ypc than the other backs.No one knew it was THAT bad, but everyone knew it could be bad. I understand your argument that, if the OL was good, Green might be better....but nobody (sane) thought the OL would be good in 2013. It's a strange hypothetical to use as a defense of your position. Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-77885423672637010552014-09-09T22:36:46.969-04:002014-09-09T22:36:46.969-04:00@ Lanknows 7:28 p.m.
That depends on your definit...@ Lanknows 7:28 p.m.<br /><br />That depends on your definition of "better." You confuse some things I say sometimes. I don't entirely blame you, because it's hard to keep track of what someone else says, especially when that person says lots of things in 2-4 blog posts a day. So I get it. <br /><br />My current thought on the RB situation is this: Smith is the more "creative" runner who can break tackles and has better vision. That has always been my analysis. Green is the more explosive runner who can do more damage if the OL is opening holes. That has also always been my analysis. The team currently needs someone who can grind out yards because the OL is pretty bad, so playing Smith makes more sense.<br /><br />If you go back and look at the things I've said about Green since his recruitment started, my thoughts are exactly what everyone is repeating now on fan sites, blogs, etc. It's funny that you're trying to throw my high opinion of him in my face when there are other people saying "I know you voiced concerns about him from the beginning."Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-15982557819491945682014-09-09T22:25:54.564-04:002014-09-09T22:25:54.564-04:00@ Lanknows 7:25 p.m.
I called Toussaint the best ...@ Lanknows 7:25 p.m.<br /><br />I called Toussaint the best offensive player in the class. That's true. I was wrong. That doesn't have anything to do with the discussion at hand. There was very little film of Denard Robinson, and what there was showed him running a Wing-T offense. He was very hard to evaluate via highlight video. Regardless, I never "rated" him as a running back, because he never played running back until the end of his senior year when he was having nerve issues in his throwing arm.<br /><br />So you're right that I rated Fitzgerald Toussaint as a better running back than Denard Robinson. Because Denard wasn't a running back. You win, I guess. You manufactured your own argument, and you won. Congratulations.<br /><br />I somewhat disagree with your assertion that my evaluations fall in line with recruiting rankings. As I've mentioned before, my sleeper recruits in the past handful of classes have included Jake Ryan, Willie Henry, and Desmond Morgan - all of whom have turned into pretty good players. That's not to say that I don't have my fair share of misses and such, but I do my own evaluations - I don't need Rivals or Scout or ESPN or Tom Lemming telling me how to evaluate players.<br /><br />I don't understand your comment about Denard Robinson and the Jaguars. On the one hand, you say that I would be calling for more Denard Robinson...but then you also say that I wouldn't. Personally, I don't know what I would do because I haven't watched the Jaguars, and I don't give a s*** about them other than hoping that Henne and Robinson have success because they're former Wolverines.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-18437672241838642222014-09-09T19:40:51.059-04:002014-09-09T19:40:51.059-04:00That's a pretty wordy argument for not knowing...That's a pretty wordy argument for not knowing what you're arguing.<br /><br />I don't think I have ever suggested that Cox is a star running back. You're confusing "he deserves to touch the football" with "he's a good running back." When he was at Michigan, I wanted him to touch the football more. The other guys who DID touch the football were not good, such as Vincent Smith and Sam McGuffie.<br /><br />Your comparison of McGuffie and Cox is odd. You're sort of arguing that McGuffie was better in Rice's offense than Cox was in UMass's offense, while also pointing out that UMass had a terrible offense (due to poor talent at most positions). When McGuffie was the primary ball carrier at Rice, they had the #64 overall offense in the country. When Cox was the primary ball carrier at UMass (wasn't that their first year in the FBS?), they had the #124 total offense.<br /><br />So...you're comparing apples to oranges.<br /><br />You're doing the same thing with Derrick Green, and you're misconstruing the things I've said - whether by choice or because you forgot my actual thoughts. You're right that I suggested he would run for 5.0 yards/carry. Is that Derrick Green's fault or the offensive line's fault? It's probably a little of both. He came in overweight, and the OL was really, really terrible. I don't think anyone expected the OL to be that terrible, and Fitzgerald Toussaint - who averaged 5.6 yards/carry in 2011 - was down to about 3.5 yards/carry in 2013 (IIRC).<br /><br />That's the way predictions go sometimes. There are so many factors that go into it (play calling, injuries, offensive line play, discipline, etc.). Keep in mind that the offensive coordinator calling the plays and developing the playbook was fired after 2013. Is that a freshman's fault, or is it because the offensive coordinator wasn't doing his job well enough?<br /><br />Also, you'll find that I predicted stardom for Green based on past history (Rivals #1 running backs usually do well, for example) and based on the OL talent Michigan has recruited. If you look hard enough, you'll find comments where I say that if the offensive line develops the way it should based on recruiting, virtually anyone could find success running behind it. This is much the same way that Michigan used to churn out running backs (Powers, Biakabutuka, Wheatley, Thomas, Perry, etc.) who were "stars" and gained a lot of yards, but didn't do a whole lot in the NFL.<br /><br />In summary: you're twisting my arguments over the years into suggesting things that I never said. That might be fun for you, but it's not really an effective way of arguing.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-25621966702975325362014-09-09T19:36:48.157-04:002014-09-09T19:36:48.157-04:00What recruiting material are you referring to?What recruiting material are you referring to?Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-25606646258985915602014-09-09T19:28:37.940-04:002014-09-09T19:28:37.940-04:00It sounds like your current prediction is D.Smith ...It sounds like your current prediction is D.Smith being better than Green. Which makes sense, because his YPC has been consistently superior. Also, I doubt many disagree. He has looked better as a ball carrier going back to last years Ohio State game. <br /><br />What we don't know is how much of that is situational. Still, you may be right. If you are, I think you should remember that it was Green, not Smith, that you thought was the superior player before switching gears in the offseason. Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-26036973492586655922014-09-09T19:25:43.628-04:002014-09-09T19:25:43.628-04:00I fully support you in saying you don't cheer-...I fully support you in saying you don't cheer-lead every guy. You don't hop on the bandwagon of every 3 star, or even 5 star. The cut-the-BS perspective is why people like me read your blog. But just because you can smell other people's BS doesn't mean you are dishing out gourmet fare.<br /><br />I looked back and you are right that you were consistently high on Toussaint and "in early" so to speak. Wasnt fair of me to cite the 65 yarder. So credit there, I guess, but you called him the best offensive player in the class when Denard is the best ball-carrier (your evaluation criteria) in that class and he is the only Michigan player who is a NFL RB right now. Also, he WAS the highest rated back, I believe, to be recruited between Carlos Brown and Derrick Green. So, it's not like you were alone.<br /><br />I think your predictions for incoming prospect have, more or less, matched recruiting rankings. There may be exceptions to that, but generally "your guys" seem to be highly ranked and "not your guys" are lowly ranked. Which is fine, expected, and typical of fans, analysts, coaches, everyone. <br /><br />Your predictions for guys based on performance, after they hit campus, are nothing to brag about, IMO. You called for Cox and Shaw to get more carries because you like ball-carriers more than "all purpose" backs. But those guys weren't productive and ended up benched and/or transferred. The key difference in your judgement (and others) seems like it's in the definition of running backs. You don't put much stock in blocking and catching, you want a guy that is a talented runner/ball-carrier (like Toussaint, Shaw, Cox). You make a bigger deal than some others about garbage time and scrimmage production against 3rd rate competition. <br /><br />You wanted Hopkins to get benched and he was. You wanted Smith to get benched and he wasn't (though his role evolved, he still played...A LOT).<br /><br />If you were a Jaguars blogger you'd be calling for Denard to start, probably, though your old-school 90's football mentality might inhibit that because of his physique.<br /><br />But others, most notably our coaches, keep playing other guys not because they don't see the talent, but because they need guys who can block and catch and who won't mess up (like V.Smith) to play. And our coaches are actually pretty "old school" in the same way you are.<br /><br />Anyway, I'm digressing. I'd say you have a long way to go to argue you have a proven track record with predicting Michigan RBs.<br /><br /><br />Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-17137171466661295122014-09-04T12:56:28.121-04:002014-09-04T12:56:28.121-04:00The "good running back" comment is obvio...The "good running back" comment is obviously a semantic argument. You have one interpretation of what that means. I do not share that opinion. Fine. We've had that argument numerous times, and I think a "good running back" should be able to run the ball well during his 15-20 carries/touches a game.<br /><br />I have never claimed that Green is an "elite" back, so you're putting words in my mouth or - at the very least - arguing something for no reason. I said from the very beginning that there were several superior running backs in the 2013 class. I am also on record as saying that Green is not someone who can create for himself, so behind a crappy OL, Smith might be a better option. <br /><br />I fought the fight on Cox for a long time, and apparently I'm still fighting it. The vast majority of commenters here and on MGoBlog insisted that the only reason Cox had success was because of the competition level. I probably wasn't the ONLY one, because that would be hyperbole, but I was definitely in the minority. <br /><br />As for Toussaint, I will say again that I was on the bandwagon when I saw him in high school. The important thing here is that I SELECT players/running backs to get excited about. Some people get excited about every single recruit, but there are guys I question, such as Hopkins, White, etc. I did not wait for Toussaint to bust out against BGSU with a 65-yarder or to start gaining chunks of yards in 2011. And while I didn't see much of Cox in high school, I could tell by his initial run(s) - against EMU in 2009, I believe - that he had speed, strength, balance, and vision.<br /><br />I think you're misremembering or misrepresenting some of the things I've said over the years in an attempt to make your point.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-9102179062670999172014-09-04T12:06:36.340-04:002014-09-04T12:06:36.340-04:00good 3rd down back and pass protector -- sounds li...good 3rd down back and pass protector -- sounds like a good running back. <br /><br />You might as well say a "sure that DE is a good pass rusher, but he's not a good defender" or "sure this QB is a game-changing runner but he's not a good QB" (oh wait, you did say that). Anyway... <br /><br />It's part of the job. A big part of it. 1st and 2nd down matter, ball-carrying matters, but in modern football the pass game is more important than the run game and games are won and lost on 3rd down conversions. The 'primary'/'every down back' is a dying breed. Chris Perry isn't walking through that door. Darren Sproles is one of the best RBs in the NFL. Most teams split RB duties between a bigger 'downhill' back and a shiftier '3rd down'/all-purpose back. Michigan does it, most NFL teams do it. RBs need to block and catch, not just run.<br /><br />You can't claim to be good at identifying good RBs if you can't even identify what a RB is supposed to do.<br /><br />Rodriguez used Smith as a ball-carrier because a) there wasn't a significantly better option around and b) he wanted to keep defenses honest (unlike Borges who seemed to think defenses were too dumb to see what was coming based on personnel).<br /><br />A few years ago we argued back and forth about Smith (not a good ball-carrier) and Shaw (a superior, albeit not great, ball-carrier). Both coaching staffs played Smith more than Shaw in the end. They reached the same conclusion. The guy who was not a great ball-carrier was a better running back than a 4-star guy that was. Smith won, Shaw lost.<br /><br />The OL comments irt Green, while somewhat true, are a bit of a cop out. Toussaint ran for 4.0 ypc in 2012 with the same OL plus three 5th year seniors. It was very likely it was going to be worse. Saying "everyone assumed they'd be mediocre" is also a cop out, and not true. My comments at the time amounted too "no way in hell with this OL", but also, I was skeptical of Green as being elite in the first place. And, part of the reason the OL looked so bad was Smith being gone. AND AND AND - D.Smith ran for 4.5 ypc, so it wasn't impossible for an elite RB to top that. Green had the lowest ypc of all the backs. Can't blame Green's woeful production all on the OL. He is not an elite back.<br /><br />You weren't the only one to get excited about Fitz and Cox. They looked awesome breaking long runs. The problem was they did it against crap competition and they weren't ready to be all-around backs. Fitz mostly got there eventually (or close) but still couldn't pass block and the team suffered badly for it.<br /><br />I think we'll have to agree to disagree again on the topic of RB.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-2942307925332966702014-09-04T06:33:01.257-04:002014-09-04T06:33:01.257-04:00The comments about Smith confuse me. He was not a ...The comments about Smith confuse me. He was not a good running back; he was a good third down back and pass protector. I was totally fine with him being used in that fashion. What frustrated me was Rich Rodriguez's use of him as a feature back, something Smith was not suited for. Hoke never used him as a feature back, so saying "two coaching staffs saw something in him" or whatever is kind of pointless. I like the way Hoke/Borges used him (for the most part) - Rodriguez is the issue.<br /><br />Predicting Green to rush for 5.0 yards/carry was more an overestimation of the OL than an overestimation of Green. I don't really get that criticism, either. Was I wrong about what kind of success he would have as a freshman? Sure. But just about everyone assumed that the line could at least be mediocre with Lewan/Schofield, and the OL was perhaps the worst in Michigan history. I don't really see what that has to do with Green specifically.<br /><br />I was high on Toussaint coming out of high school. I also jumped on the Cox bandwagon as soon as I saw him on the field. Toussaint is the only RB since Lloyd Carr to rush for over 1,000 yards. Cox is the only RB since Lloyd Carr to make it to the NFL for more than a practice squad/preseason role.<br /><br />Toussaint never looked the same to me after his broken leg in 2012. Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I think that took some of the spring out of his step last year.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-59052340366649970092014-09-03T23:58:08.626-04:002014-09-03T23:58:08.626-04:00FWIW I've been wrong too. I thought Fitz was a...FWIW I've been wrong too. I thought Fitz was an NFL back, turned out he was benched in favor of heavy doeses of Green and Smith last year. I thought Hopkins would be good. I thought McGuffie would thrive under Rodriguez, like most.<br /><br />Predictions are hard.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-11510570616114132252014-09-03T23:56:26.547-04:002014-09-03T23:56:26.547-04:00The Smith thing continues to gall me. Not one but ...The Smith thing continues to gall me. Not one but TWO coaching staffs put him out there ahead of other guys who were better ball-carriers. The reasons are pretty clear at the time and become abundantly evident last year when there was no replacement for him. The fact that you continue to not give Smith respect pretty much makes my point.<br /><br />You have a decent track record of pointing out that guys who look good running the ball look good running the ball. Your track record of predicting who is a good running back OTOH...<br /><br />Plus, you were wrong about the best 'RB' to play at Michigan in a long time...Denard Robinson. (Even though you were critical about his passing, not running, I say it still counts.) Also, you didn't mention Shaw. <br /><br />I don't remember what you said about McGuffie, because... this blog started after his career at Michigan ended. Same for Minor.<br /><br />What sticks out in my mind is the Smith vs Shaw thing, and then predicting Green would rush for 5 ypc or whatever. I'm not sure Rawls (a 3-star many questioned) is enough to counter that. I was critical of White and Rawls too because they seemed like questionable pickups at the time - so were others. Hopkins may be your best call, because a lot of people were excited about him...but that's not much to hang your hat on. Neither is saying "hey Cox and Toussaint ran for a bunch of yards against scrubs, lets see more of that!" <br /><br />Since no one else is reading this anyway, I figure I could be blunt without causing offense... as always I appreciate the analysis and writing, I just couldn't let you toot your own horn on your track record in the RB department without saying something when, at best, it's been a mixed bag, at least on this blog. Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-85403342016890909602014-09-02T22:40:10.884-04:002014-09-02T22:40:10.884-04:00Yeah...Glasgow has never impressed me, and he didn...Yeah...Glasgow has never impressed me, and he didn't on Saturday, either. As for Hurst, Painter Smurf, I think he should be a pass rush specialist only for now. He's too light to hold up to double-teams, but if it's third and long, I wouldn't mind seeing him deployed like Jibreel Black was last year. On running downs, it should be Pipkins, Mone, or Glasgow (or Henry).Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-22055062635787893452014-09-02T22:37:31.694-04:002014-09-02T22:37:31.694-04:00Honestly, the Mike Cox thing can't go either w...Honestly, the Mike Cox thing can't go either way. I'm trying to be as unbiased as possible, but almost all the other guys who played ahead of him have faded into oblivion. Stephen Hopkins? Disappeared. Vincent Smith? Off doing some good somewhere, but not on the football field. The only guy with an argument is Fitzgerald Toussaint, who was a favorite of mine coming out of high school, had the best college season (2011) of any in the bunch, and at least got a cup of coffee with the Ravens.<br /><br />Go back to Brandon Minor. I said he should have been playing more, but people like Sam McGuffie and Vincent Smith inexplicably played ahead of him at times. Then McGuffie couldn't hack it at RB at Rice, Smith was relegated to backup duty by Hoke/Borges, and neither one ever amounted to much in college. Minor was the best of the bunch.<br /><br />Again, I'm not saying I'm 100%. But the guys I've liked over the years - Cox, Toussaint, and Minor - all got at least a sniff in the NFL and put up solid numbers. The guys who have not impressed me - Rawls, Austin White, Hopkins, Smith, McGuffie, etc. - have transferred or disappeared. I guess the jury's still out on Rawls, who has most of his senior year left at CMU and might be a late bloomer.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-46722736907469040892014-09-02T11:40:22.803-04:002014-09-02T11:40:22.803-04:00The coaches send out recruiting material talking a...The coaches send out recruiting material talking about who will be the next #1. I think that's a pretty good indicator.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-70973678612492432212014-09-02T11:16:34.761-04:002014-09-02T11:16:34.761-04:00I'd enjoy having a healthy debate about your t...I'd enjoy having a healthy debate about your track record of identifying RB talent. I remember your misses more than your hits, but then there is the famous case of Mike Cox, who could go either way...<br /><br />It's certainly a debatable assertion. I think your track record is good overall, but RB isn't your strongest position to make that case.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-92191399971300716512014-09-02T11:14:16.134-04:002014-09-02T11:14:16.134-04:00Fans talk about a lot of stuff that coaches and pl...Fans talk about a lot of stuff that coaches and players don't care about.<br /><br />I'm not ignoring the history of #1, but it's been blown out of proportion. It was something that Carr-Edwards sort of invented as something to be earned. From there it took a life of it's own and the mess of the Rodriguez era turned the whole thing into speculative fiction.<br /><br />Now, we have a number that is an official honor #21, that may or may not go to WRs exclusively. Then we have an unofficial honorary #1, which may or may not be a bigger deal than Desmond Howard's #. <br /><br />I just think we can't assert that our subjective definitions are authoritative. I thought Denard should have worn #1 (if he wanted it). Most people did not agree.<br /><br />Anyway, I'd be surprised if Gallon viewed his jersey numbers as an injustice of any sort.<br /><br />Funchess, as a Michigan kid, probably knows the history better.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-67390442279394367682014-09-02T11:08:25.903-04:002014-09-02T11:08:25.903-04:00I just meant he didn't start, but you're r...I just meant he didn't start, but you're right that Morgan played a lot. I didn't notice Ross as much. <br /><br />I think you make a good point about the scheme influencing personnel.<br /><br />I imagine against MSU we'd see significantly different snap counts.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-72363005275329218972014-09-01T20:47:12.195-04:002014-09-01T20:47:12.195-04:00The #1 jersey is talked about the most by fans, ha...The #1 jersey is talked about the most by fans, hasn't been awarded in a decade, and has a scholarship endowment tied to it. It also has not been awarded to mediocre players like Vincent Smith, Brandon Moore, Courtney Avery, etc. which #2, #87, and #11 have. I'll grant that some of those retired numbers have obviously been out of circulation for a lot longer than the #1 jersey, but I don't see people arguing about who should get #47 or #48. And #21 is great and all, but it doesn't have the same history that the #1 has.Thunderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09708792562446136381noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2440694009017367434.post-90745585847749672122014-09-01T20:38:26.389-04:002014-09-01T20:38:26.389-04:00#1 appears the most coveted?....not sure about tha...#1 appears the most coveted?....not sure about that. Funchess supposedly asked for it, maybe Gallon didn't. I never saw it as a diss of Gallon and I thought the #21 honor was pretty cool.Lanknowsnoreply@blogger.com