Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Eli Owens, Wolverine

 

Alcoa (TN) Alcoa TE Eli Owens (image via 5 Star Preps)

Alcoa (TN) Alcoa tight end Eli Owens, a 2025 prospect, committed to Michigan on January 4, between the wins over Alabama and Washington. He picked the Wolverines over offers from Alabama, Ohio State, Tennessee, and several others.

Owens is listed at 6'2" and 243 lbs. As a sophomore in 2022, he caught 33 passes for 385 yards and 5 touchdowns.

RANKINGS
ESPN: Unranked
On3: 3-star, 88 grade, #24 TE
Rivals: 4-star, 5.8 grade, #6 TE, #210 overall
247 Sports: 3-star, 88 grade, #19 TE

Hit the jump for more.

Amorion Walker, Ex-Wolverine

Amorion Walker (image via MLive)

Sophomore wide receiver/cornerback Amorion Walker has entered the transfer portal. He played in thirteen games for the Wolverines over the past two seasons.

Walker came out of Ponchatoula (LA) Ponchatoula in the 2022 class and was ranked as a 3-star, the #72 wide receiver, and #522 overall. I gave him a TTB Rating of 81.

Michigan's coaching staff believed in Walker as an athlete, and he had some freaky testing times when it comes to sprints and short shuttles. But after two years on campus, he was listed at 6'3" and 180 lbs. Despite Jim Harbaugh saying he considered Walker to be a starter last winter, he looked overmatched in the spring game - getting torched by walk-on Peyton O'Leary - and then got passed up by UMass transfer Josh Wallace during the summer.

Players usually seem to end up closer to home when they transfer - see Oregon native Darrius Clemons transferring to Oregon State - so I would expect Walker to end up somewhere near SEC country. He has a crystal ball right now for Ole Miss.

As for Michigan, the Wolverines will once again be looking for help at cornerback after losing Walker and rising second-year player Cam Calhoun (Utah) to the transfer portal. Starter Will Johnson returns on one side, but Wallace and Mike Sainristil are heading to the NFL, leaving sophomore D.J. Waller, redshirt junior Ja'Den McBurrows, redshirt freshman Jyaire Hill, and a few others to battle for playing time. Michigan may look to the portal once again for a starter.

2025 Recruiting Update: January 16, 2024

 

Hollywood (FL) Chaminade-Madonna CB Chris Ewald, Jr. (image via 247 Sports)

COMMITMENT

Alcoa (TN) Alcoa tight end Eli Owens committed to Michigan.

DECOMMITMENT

Hollywood (FL) Chaminade-Madonna defensive back Chris Ewald, Jr. (4-star, #11 CB, #87 overall) decommitted from Michigan. He recently visited Georgia and also has visits set up to a couple Florida schools.

Hit the jump for more.

Sunday, January 14, 2024

What should Michigan do at QB in 2024?

 

Alex Orji (image via WFAA)

It was a very understandable move, but Michigan suffered a big blow on Sunday when incumbent starting quarterback J.J. McCarthy announced he would be entering the 2024 NFL Draft. McCarthy is a two-year starter who went 27-1 in that role and won a national championship. According to draft projections I've seen, he's considered to be a potential 1st round pick and is thought to be anywhere from the #3 to the #6 quarterback in the class. He could come back in 2024 and potentially be the #1 quarterback on the board for the 2025 draft, but it looks like that won't happen.

So where should Michigan turn for a quarterback in 2024?

JADYN DAVIS (6'0", 202 lb. freshman)
2023 season stats (high school): 204/288, 3370 yards, 43 touchdowns, 9 interceptions
The argument: Davis, from Charlotte (NC) Providence Day, is a 4-star recruit, the #7 quarterback, and #93 overall in the class of 2024. Michigan recruited Davis hard and put most of their eggs in his basket during the cycle, so the coaching staff really likes him. While he's ranked anywhere from #61 to #116 overall by three of the four main recruiting sites, the fourth - On3 - has him all the way down at #218. One thing that really helps true freshman quarterbacks be successful is some kind of physical advantage - speed, size, and/or a cannon for an arm - but Davis has none of the above. He's more of a game manager in the mold of Cade McNamara, and while McNamara did eventually captain his team to a very successful season, it wasn't until his third year on campus.

Hit the jump for more.

Friday, January 12, 2024

Darrius Clemons, Ex-Wolverine

 

Darrius Clemons

Michigan receiver Darrius Clemons has entered the transfer portal following Michigan's national championship win on Monday night.

Clemons was a member of Michigan's 2022 class out of Portland (OR) Westview. He was a 4-star, the #24 wide receiver, and #144 overall in the 247 Composite rankings. I gave him a TTB Rating of 88 based on his 6'4", 205 lb. frame (he was most recently listed at 6'3", 212 lbs. by MGoBlue.com) and sub-4.4 speed.

Unfortunately, things didn't really work out at Michigan. Maybe they could have, but they didn't. He played in eleven games as a freshman and nine this past season, but he made just 3 catches for 33 yards in 2023 and 4 catches for 40 yards altogether. His biggest career highlight - aside from winning a natty - was a diving touchdown reception in the 2022 spring game.

For better or worse, Michigan's style of play is not wide receiver-friendly. They play slow and run the ball a lot, which works. I mean, who can argue with the team results? But Michigan's top receivers this season were Roman Wilson (48 catches, 789 yards, 12 touchdowns) and Cornelius Johnson (47 catches, 604 yards, 1 touchdown). There aren't a ton of targets to go around, even when Michigan has the best quarterback in school history in J.J. McCarthy.

On top of that, Clemons was passed up in playing time by classmate Tyler Morris (13 catches, 197 yards,1 touchdown) and freshman Semaj Morgan (22 catches, 204 yards, 2 touchdowns).

The bright side for Clemons may have been that both Wilson and Johnson are out of eligibility, and there's no clear-cut #1 receiver for next season. Michigan will need to look toward the transfer portal to try to find some contributors for 2024 and beyond. At the wide receiver position, the Wolverines will return just 40 catches and 4 touchdowns next season from the likes of Morris, Morgan, Fredrick Moore, Karmello English, and walk-on Peyton O'Leary.

Clemons was the fourth member of the 2022 class to enter the portal, following LB Deuce Spurlock (Florida), S Damani Dent (Charlotte), and RB C.J. Stokes (Charlotte). 

Tuesday, January 9, 2024

National Champs! Michigan 34, Washington 13

 

These guys are national champions! It's amazing to think of what had to come together for this team to win a national championship. From an outsider's perspective, Alabama and Georgia just seem to kind of fall into a national championship. They throw a lot of money at the football program, they're in recruiting hotbeds, and magically, they just end up in the championship. I know that sounds trite, and obviously, there's a lot of play calling, hard work, toughness, culture building, etc. that goes into winning a championship. But I don't know that any national championship team in recent memory can compare with what this team had to go through to get there, including:

  • Hiring the golden boy QB/coach to come back to Michigan from the NFL in 2015
  • Morons who thought Jim Harbaugh should have been fired sometime around 2020
  • Overcoming basically multiple decades of Ohio State dominance in the Big Ten
  • Bringing back guys who could have gone to the NFL (Zak Zinter, Blake Corum, Trevor Keegan, etc.)
  • Limitations with recruiting and transfers due to NIL shortcomings and admissions nonsense
  • A QB battle that resulted in the incumbent starter transferring to Iowa
  • Year after year of a head coach being courted by the NFL
  • Enduring the loss of All-American RG Zak Zinter in the middle of the Ohio State game
  • Having Jim Harbaugh suspended for 50% of the 2023 regular season, including the two toughest games against Penn State and Ohio State
  • The NCAA and Big Ten seemingly conspiring to try to damage Jim Harbaugh and/or force him out of college football
  • Drawing #4 Alabama, a battle-tested and proven program, in the College Football Playoff instead of 13-0 newbies Florida State

Of course, there are other struggles and roadblocks that are too numerous to mention, but it was a long and difficult road for this team to win on the biggest stage in college sports.

Donovan Edwards breaks out. I've been quick to point out his struggles this season, so I have to be quick to point out where Edwards succeeds. Edwards ran 6 times for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns. That comes after a season when he had been ranked as the second-to-worst Big Ten running back in terms of yards per carry (3.48 coming into the national championship game). Edwards found a couple big holes and used his explosive speed to outrun Washington's secondary, which I mentioned in the lead-up to the game was one of the worst tackling units on the schedule. Up through fourteen games this season, Edwards's longest run of the year was 14 yards. Then in his first couple carries against Washington, he had two runs that were 40+ yards (46- and 41-yard touchdowns). Michigan had 14 points in no time thanks to Edwards's big plays.

The whole running game had a day. Every Michigan player who ran the ball averaged 7.0 yards per carry or better. Michigan ended up averaging 8.0 yards per carry (38 carries, 303 yards, 4 touchdowns). Starting running back Blake Corum's long run went for 59 yards; altogether, he ran 21 times for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns. At one point the broadcast put up a statistic that said Michigan averaged 31 yards per carry in the first quarter, 4.4 in the second quarter, and 4.0 in the third quarter. They were talking as if Washington had shut down Michigan's running game, and I was thinking, "Ummm . . . that's just getting it back down to average, guys." It's like when your co-worker shows up 30 minutes late to work every day, and then when they finally get there on the dot at 8:00 a.m., it's like, "Hey, everybody! Look how awesome Larry is for showing up on time for the first day this month!"

This was not J.J. McCarthy's day. I actually think McCarthy did just fine - and he made some great throws - but Michigan had so many ways to be dominant in the run game that the passing game was almost irrelevant. Michigan probably could have gone with the second half Penn State script for this entire game and won the day. The Wolverines were having such great success in the run, and they weren't even testing the edges with jet sweeps, QB sweeps, etc. McCarthy finished 10/18 for 140 yards. He had some open receivers, but Washington's pass rush was solid. The matchups just favored Michigan's running game so much that McCarthy could be a complementary piece. I thought Michigan probably could have/should have run him more, but they only used one designed run for him.

Kudos to Washington. Washington put up a valiant fight. They hung around for 3.5 quarters, and it was 20-13 late into the game. Then Michigan broke it open late with the Blake Corum touchdowns. I thought their defensive line and linebackers showed some toughness. There were a couple standout plays by linebacker Edefuan Ulofoshio (who lined up like he was going to rush the passer on 4th down, only to run out to the flat and bat down a pass intended for Roman Wilson) and safety Dominique Hampton (who punched out a ball intended for Colston Loveland). Running back Dillon Johnson put in a hard day's work on a bum knee/ankle to run 11 times for 33 yards and catch 2 passes for 24 yards. Offensively, they outcoached Michigan to scheme open receivers and even get some running lanes, but physically, they weren't a match.

Let's talk about Michael Penix. Michigan held the best passer in the country to 27/51 for 255 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. They only sacked him one time (from NT Kenneth Grant), but they harassed Penix repeatedly. They were pushing offensive guards back in Penix's face, forcing his own linemen to step on Penix's ankle. Then they hurt Penix's ribs. By the fourth quarter, I was thinking, "How long can Washington keep him in this game without risking his future?" There are apparently some NFL scouts who think wide receiver Rome Odunze is better than Marvin Harrison, Jr., and Odunze was held to 5 catches for 87 yards. Ja'Lynn Polk is considered to be a 2nd-3rd round prospect, and he had 4 catches for 37 yards. Third receiver Jalen McMillan, known for his yards after the catch, had 6 catches for just 33 yards and 1 touchdown. Penix did miss some throws he usually makes, but you have to credit Michigan's defense for making him uncomfortable enough to miss some routine throws.

Michigan's defense was mostly awesome. The best play of the day can be debated, but for me, it was when Penix threw a quick out to McMillan on 3rd-and-7. With a reputation for running after the catch and a good amount of open space, McMillan had a chance to get the first down. Instead, nickel corner Mike Sainristil wrapped him up, held on tight, spun him to the ground, and killed the drive. You could also argue that Grant knocking an offensive guard on his butt and then sacking Penix was the play of the day. Or maybe when cornerback Will Johnson tipped a pass to himself and then secured an interception just inside the sideline to stop Washington's first drive of the third quarter. There were a couple coverage busts, but overall, it was a dominant day against a very good offensive unit.

What does this mean to me? Michigan winning the national championship means a lot of things. I, of course, know I had nothing to do with the win, but this is why we watch sports. We all latch onto one team - or maybe a few - and root for them. I've been a Michigan fan since birth. I remember going to Michigan Stadium in the freezing cold and eating a hot dog as a kid sitting in the stands, watching Ricky Powers and Desmond Howard and Tony Boles and Elvis Grbac and Tyrone Wheatley. I remember where I was when Charles Woodson made that interception in the Rose Bowl following the 1997 season. So many Michigan memories have that "I was with (insert friend/family member) at (insert place) when (insert magical moment)."

And a lot of those hopes about winning national championships faded over the years, not because I thought Michigan was falling off, but because so much talent was getting concentrated in the SEC. I don't care what sport you're a fan of, but eventually, you get sick of watching the same team(s) win championships year after year. If I weren't a fan of Tom Brady, I would have been sick of the Patriots. I'm not a fan of the Yankees, so I got sick of them really quickly back in the 1990s and early 2000s. When people asked me what I thought about Monday's national championship game beforehand, I said, "Whoever wins, I'm just glad they won't be from the SEC." And yes, this means that people will be sick of Michigan soon, and that's only if they're not already annoyed by Jim Harbaugh dominating the headlines.

But this confirms that schools from other parts of the country, not just the southeast, can still win championships in football. This confirms that high academic standards aren't going to preclude a team from winning. It also shows that teams can still win by running the ball and playing good defense.

Who's got it better than us?

Nobody.

Sunday, January 7, 2024

National Championship Preview: Michigan Defense vs. Washington Offense

 

Michael Penix (#9, image via Washington Athletics)

RUSH DEFENSE vs. WASHINGTON RUSH OFFENSE
Michigan ranks #9 in rushing defense (93.1 yards allowed/game) and #7 in yards allowed per carry (3.03). Last week they allowed a season-high 172 yards on the ground, but 63 of those yards came on 21 attempts by Alabama QB Jalen Milroe. Michigan backup DT Rayshaun Benny was lost for this game after a lower body injury last week, but the Wolverines still dominated the line of scrimmage against the Crimson Tide, and fellow DT Mason Graham was named MVP of the Rose Bowl. Middle linebacker Junior Colson leads the team with 89 tackles, and fellow LB Michael Barrett is second with 61. The third guy is LB Ernest Hausmann (44 tackles), whose playing time seems to have diminished in Michigan's postseason. Michigan is #55 in tackles for loss (5.86 per game), led by OLB Jaylen Harrell and DE Braiden McGregor with 9 each. Washington's rush offense ranks #102 nationally (123.6 yards/game), and they're tied for #55 in yards per carry (4.42). The leading rusher is Mississippi State transfer Dillon Johnson (6'0", 218 lbs.), a senior who has 222 carries for 1,162 yards and 16 touchdowns this season; Johnson suffered an ankle injury last week and may be limited or slowed by the injury. Freshman Tybo Rogers (5'11", 185) seems to be the primary backup at this point in the season, as he had 5 carries for 19 yards last week when Johnson was hurt; altogether, he has 43 attempts for 182 yards and 0 touchdowns this year. The offensive line for the Huskies won the 2023 Joe Moore Award for being the top offensive line - Michigan won it in 2021 and 2022 - so they play very well together. Redshirt junior LT Troy Fautanu (6'4", 317) will probably get drafted in the first couple rounds, and redshirt sophomore RT Roger Rosengarten (6'6", 300) is also a solid player who could get drafted in the middle rounds. Center Parker Brailsford (6'2", 275) is a redshirt freshman thrust into a starting position due to injury.

Advantage: Michigan. Washington has decent success in the run game, but they don't really commit to it, since their strength is in the passing game. They also rely heavily on Johnson and haven't got much from the backup running backs, so if Johnson is slowed by his ankle injury, that could spell trouble for the run altogether.

PASS DEFENSE vs. WASHINGTON PASS OFFENSE
Michigan ranks #2 in passing defense (150 yards allowed/game), #5 in yards allowed per attempt (5.8), and #3 in defensive passing efficiency. They have allowed 7 passing touchdowns while nabbing 16 interceptions on the season. Last week Milroe completed almost 70% of his throws, but they were short gains (5.0 yards/attempt). The Wolverines are tied for #17 in interceptions per game (1.14), led by Mike Sainristil's 5, and 4 of their 16 picks have been returned for scores. Michigan sacked Milroe 6 times in the Rose Bowl, bringing them up to #21 in sacks per game (2.71). Harrell has 6.5 sacks, OLB Josaiah Stewart has 5.5, and McGregor has 4.5. It's going to be much tougher to get to the QB in this one, though, because while Milroe has a reputation for holding onto the ball too long, Washington QB Michael Penix (6'3", 213) has one of the quickest releases in the country. Penix transferred from Indiana following the 2021 season and is in his sixth year of college, having had his best season for the Hoosiers when Washington head coach Kalen Deboer was Indiana's offensive coordinator in 2019. Penix finished second in the 2023 Heisman voting and has the Huskies ranked #1 in passing (350 yards/game), #6 in yards per attempt (9.4), and #11 in passing efficiency. Penix is 336/504 (66.7%) for 4,648 yards, 35 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. He's ridiculously accurate and, in my opinion, is the most impressive pure passer in the country. He's throwing to junior WR Rome Odunze (6'3", 215), who has 87 catches for 1,553 yards and 13 touchdowns; junior WR Ja'Lynn Polk (6'2", 204), who has 65 catches for 1,122 yards and 9 scores; and junior WR Jalen McMillan (6'1", 192), who has 39 catches for 526 yards and 4 touchdowns. They also have threats at tight end with fifth year senior Jack Westover (6'3", 248) with 41 catches, 394 yards, and 4 touchdowns, and fifth year senior Devin Culp (6'4", 237) with 15 catches for 194 yards and 2 scores. Washington is #4 in sacks allowed per game (0.79), due to both a solid offensive line and Penix's quick decision making.

Advantage: Washington. Penix is the best passing QB in the country, and he has some good receivers. I think the offensive line looks better than it is because of Penix. Michigan's pass rush is going to be negated somewhat by the play calling and Penix, so even though I think Michigan's defensive line is better than Washington's offensive line, the ball's going to get out. It's going to be very important for Michigan's defensive backs to tackle well and get Odunze, Polk, McMillan, etc. on the ground quickly after they catch the ball.