Wednesday, December 16, 2020

2021 Recruiting: Early Signing Period Grades, Offense

 

J.J. McCarthy (image via ClickOnDetroit)

Keep in mind with the grades below that this is just based on the early signing period. Players can still sign in February (or beyond), transfer in, etc. So the ink isn't dry on the class just yet.

QUARTERBACK: A+
Needed: 1
Signed: 1
Michigan landed an elite player, J.J. McCarthy (5-star, #2 pro-style QB, #22 overall). Not only is he elite on the field, but I think his attitude helped keep the class together when things got a little bit rocky. Naturally, the hope for Michigan fans is that he maintains that kind of leadership throughout his career in Ann Arbor. He's also the first quarterback recruited out of high school by Jim Harbaugh who actually fits the mold of an RPO signal-caller.

Hit the jump for more.


RUNNING BACK: A+
Needed: 1
Signed: 2
The Wolverines landed two players, and while they really only needed one to replace Chris Evans, I think it's always good to sign multiple running backs. The first to commit was Tavierre Dunlap (3-star, #19 RB, #405), who has the potential to be a Chris Perry type of runner. The second one was the prized target at the end of the early signing period, in-stater Donovan Edwards (4-star, #4 RB, #44). I'm not sold on Edwards being a superstar runner, but he's a good all-around back. Michigan set their sights on him and landed him, and it's hard to imagine any program landed a better group of runners.

WIDE RECEIVER: A-
Needed: 2
Signed: 3
If you ever listen to the Move the Sticks podcast with Daniel Jeremiah and Bucky Brooks, they talk about building a wide receiver corps like a basketball team. You want a variety of talents available to run your route tree. Michigan landed the star point guard in Xavier Worthy (4-star, #12 WR, #74) and a couple wings in Andrel Anthony (3-star, #81 WR, #523) and Cristian Dixon (4-star, #38 WR, #221). What they're lacking is the power forward/center type, the 6'4" guy who can be a size mismatch. Technically, Michigan only loses Nico Collins - though he opted out of the 2020 season - but the squad was a little short on receiver options. Now there's more depth, so Michigan doesn't have to play every single freshman in 2021.

TIGHT END: B+
Needed: 2
Signed: 1
If Michigan wants to keep playing with two and three tight ends on the field at any given time, they need more depth. You need to expect some attrition while also leaving room for at least one guy to sit on the sideline and redshirt/develop. They signed Louis Hansen (4-star, #11 TE, #273), who says he's 6'5" and about 243 lbs. now. I think he will be ready to contribute fairly early, but Michigan whiffed on some players that I think are more talented, such as Thomas Fidone (signed with Nebraska). I'm okay with it if Michigan alters its style to put more receivers and fewer tight ends on the field, but from what they've shown during Jim Harbaugh's tenure, I think they're a little light at the position.

OFFENSIVE LINE: B
Needed: 4
Signed: 5
The highest rated prospect is in-stater Giovanni El-Hadi (4-star, #12 OT, #85), who's a good prospect but is a little bit overrated, in my opinion. I see him having a Jon Runyan, Jr.-like career, and Runyan was solid but never a star. I've heard glowing reports about center Raheem Anderson II (4-star, #3 C, #210) on a personal and leadership level, and I also like him as a player. He reminds me a little bit of former Iowa center James Daniels. I'm not so high on Greg Crippen (4-star, #6 C, #275), though his size might give him a little positional flexibility. Then there's Tristan Bounds (3-star, #36 OT, #419), who's listed at 6'7 1/2" and 285 lbs. Bounds has a ton of potential and I think has a bit of a nasty edge, where he could end up being a Taylor Lewan type of player, minus a little bit of Lewan's athleticism. I'm also going to throw in Louisiana Tech offensive tackle Willie Allen, a grad transfer who could slot in at guard or tackle. Michigan whiffed on several top targets at offensive tackle, and the only sure tackle seems to be Bounds, who's a bit of a project based on his junior film (and did not play as a senior due to COVID). This is a good class, but it's hard to give the coaches an "A" when they whiffed on blue chip in-state targets Rocco Spindler (Notre Dame) and Garrett Dellinger (LSU) and didn't really seem to capitalize on the fact that they had four linemen drafted in 2020.

16 comments:

  1. Looking forward to the d grades, especially at DT.

    joseph dreamed dreams

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  2. "He's also the first quarterback recruited out of high school by Jim Harbaugh who actually fits the mold of an RPO signal-caller."

    I'm intrigued by this statement. What makes him an RPO signal-caller and, say, Dylan McCaffrey (when he was still here) not one? Is it simply a matter of experience doing it? Or is it more about the QBs ability to do quick (and proper) reads ... something McCarthy has but McCaffrey did not?

    Also, what's with all the "Mc" quaterbacks ... McCaffrey, McNamara, McCarthy? :-)

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    1. It's experience doing it as well as the body type/throwing mechanics to pull it off. You have to have a quick release, you need to be able to change throwing angles, etc. It's tougher for the 6'5"/6'6" quarterbacks to do because of throwing mechanics. That's why, IMO, the best RPO quarterbacks are the guys who are 5'11" to about 6'2", who can put the ball in the RB's belly and still get the ball up to throw accurately and quickly. That's one reason I was down on McCaffrey and Milton going into this season, and I think we all saw that the RPO game was very limited with Milton, which is one reason that the offense stunk.

      Just wait until we sign Maalik McMurphy in 2022...

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    2. Didn't help that Milton is incapable of making a read. Kinda important in "R"PO

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    3. Lot to be excited about in JJ. But he won't be ready next year. Will Cade?

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    4. Thanks for the reply to my question! I had not considered the issue of height differential between QB and RB, and the longer time it takes for tall, lanky QBs to get their bodies around and arms moving in the right way for a *quick* RPO release.

      Harbaugh's college experience was pro-set stuff, and his long NFL career was during the height of the pro-set there. The archetype QB for that is 6'3" to 6'5". So if I'm reading this correctly, what we have is -- at least initially -- a mis-match between Harbaugh's view of the QB and the emerging RPO archetype QB. Harbaugh's view may be evolving. I wonder if Shea Patterson was Harbaugh's foray into the RPO world ...

      Milton is tall and lanky ... cannon arm ... Cam Newton-esque ... the dream of NFL coaches. Pep Hamilton, NFL coaching background, brought him in, if memory serves, and it was seen as a project given how raw he was. In hindsight it seems what we had from Harbaugh's arrival until now was a *very* mixed bag: some NFL-type guys, some RPO-ish guys, and an offensive philosophy that wasn't sure what it wanted to be. That I put on Harbaugh: it's okay to evolve, but do so decisively; don't waffle around trying to have cake and eat it too.

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  3. Good job on offense. I expected chaos, and was prepared to be disappointed. I could still see Harbaugh misusing these skill players, but cannot deny today being a good day ... for the Offense

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  4. Nice post.

    I'm pretty happy with the offensive class but you are right that missing on the Clarkston kids was a whiff. The OL recruiting is notch below elite.

    I like the basketball team analogy but if you have the right guy he doesn't have to be 6'4 to win the deep ones (e.g., Hemingway and Gallon) - just like you don't really need a 7' center anymore if you have Draymond Green, Bam Adebayo, or Anthony Davis you are good to go.

    I do like our mix of WR types and with the strong debuts from Henning and Wilson, and good seasons from Jackson and Johnson, the future looks promising.

    -Lank

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    1. I agree with you about the size thing, and I probably would have been fine with the "power forward" being the 6'2" Markus Allen if Michigan had been able to hold on to him.

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    2. Anthony & Dixon are both 6'2. Who in michigan WR history would you compare them to?

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    3. Johnson really won me over this year with some excellent routes. I don't know if he's a jump ball guy but he has decent height. Henning had that one catch in traffic and looks stronger to me. TEs can be an option here too and maybe All gets there but he had a brutal year with holding on to the ball.

      I am in wait-and-see mode with Gattis as an OC but I think the guy can coach receivers for sure.

      -Lank

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    4. I liked Johnson as well. I don't necessarily subscribe to the "jumpball" mantra, but a little extra size is better to have than not have

      Our TEs are pretty bad. Can't block very well and both All/Eubanks need the ball gently placed in their hands, or it's a drop. Definitely do their part in helping a new QB

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    5. I think it says something about Henning that he rarely was targeted. He mostly ran the ball on jet sweeps. His only really good "catch" was when he trapped it against defender but was able to come down with it because the defender was clueless. So far, he's been more McDoom than Desmond.

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  5. I'm not trying to be pessimistic, but without any metrics I have a "Shane Morris" feel about JJ McCarthy and I really hope I'm wrong. Good leadership, catalyst in bringing in a great recruiting class, highly ranked although I don't remember if he was a 5* or not. Any thoughts?

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    1. McCarthy should be fine, but he's thin. Not McCaffrey thin, but also not the type to carry a team returning from a 2-win year for an entire season

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    2. I think they're very different players for a lot of reasons. One is that McCarthy played at IMG, where he saw better competition than Morris ever did. Another is that Morris was a lot like Milton in that he couldn't change speeds very well. McCarthy can change speeds, change platforms, throw on the move, etc.

      Also, I'm anti-lefties. Left-handed quarterbacks just don't succeed very often.

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