This is a shift for college football. I know I sound like a geezer, but there was a time when the national champions had to be the best team in college football from beginning to end. Not the most talented. Not the team on a hot streak. But the best team for 12, 13, 14, maybe 15 games. That wasn't just the case in 2023, when Michigan went 15-0, but basically since the beginning of the sport. I was against the twelve-team playoff since people first started talking about it, and I'm still against it. College football is the NFL now, where you just have to make it to the playoffs and then a hot streak is good enough to win it. Ohio State wasn't the best team in the Big Ten. They weren't even the second best team in the Big Ten. They lost two conference games - to Oregon and Michigan - and didn't make the conference championship game. And now we're supposed to believe the fourth best team in the Big Ten is the best team in the entire country?
I'm disappointed but not surprised by the outcome. I was, of course, rooting not for Notre Dame, but rooting against Ohio State. I don't like Ryan Day. I don't like Will Howard. I don't like Jack Sawyer. If it comes down to a winner-take-all game, I almost always believe in the team with superior quarterback play. I can't believe Riley Leonard was ever considered a possible 1st round pick. I didn't watch him much when he was at Duke, but having watched a handful of Notre Dame games this season, he's just not an NFL-caliber player. His footwork is awful, his pocket awareness is non-existent, and his accuracy is hit-and-miss. He's a decent college runner, but his style won't fit as a runner in the NFL.
Man coverage on 3rd-and-long? Come on, man. After a rough first half on defense, I thought Notre Dame defensive coordinator Al Golden made some good adjustments in the second half. I didn't like that he gave up the edge so much and let Will Howard gain chunks of yards on the ground, but they definitely picked it up. But then in the 4th quarter, he played man coverage and rushed seven guys on 3rd-and-long, allowing a deep shot to Jeremiah Smith. Ohio State needed a conversion and needed to throw the ball, and your answer was to leave perhaps the best wide receiver in the country in open space against Christian Gray? That's just a terrible defensive call in a "gotta have it" situation.
Michigan and Ohio State and the Big Ten run college football? It's interesting and noteworthy that now that Name, Image, and Likeness are on the up-and-up, the Big Ten is dominating college football. Michigan won in 2023, Ohio State won in 2024, and Oregon was 13-0 and #1 in the country going into the post-season. There were too many stories coming out of SEC country to believe that Alabama, Georgia, and other schools down south were even attempting to follow amateurism rules. It wasn't a level playing field. With the playing field finally somewhat leveled, some of the blue bloods (plus Nike's pro college team) are stepping to the forefront. I'm not going to say the SEC will never recover or that Michigan, Ohio State, and Oregon are going to dominate football from now on, but allowing college players to be paid awakened some sleeping giants.
It's not going to happen overnight, but does this diminish the greatest rivalry in sports? Going back decades, sometimes the Michigan vs. Ohio State game in late November was a "playoff game." Each team had to win that game to have a chance to play in the Rose Bowl, or had to win that game to win the conference, etc. That's partly why the game was The Game. If you can lose that game, still make the playoff, and win it all, does the rivalry lose any of its luster? There are many reasons why college football and NFL football are different, but one of the reasons Minnesota vs. Green Bay or Dallas vs. Philadelphia doesn't have the same juice as Michigan vs. Ohio State is that the loser in the NFL can lose a game to a division/conference and still make the NFL playoffs. Teams that have been 10-6 or 9-7 or 8-8 have made the playoffs. Now with 17 games, there are teams who have 5 or 6 losses who make the playoffs. But we've seen 11-0 Ohio State teams drop to 11-1 after the Michigan game, and their national championship hopes went poof. Now a 10-2 Ohio State team backed into the CFP after losing to Michigan and sitting out conference championship week, and it doesn't matter here in mid-January because they got hot in the CFP. Michigan and Ohio State fans still cherish this rivalry, but how does The Game feel in 2030 or 2040? I honestly feel like The Game will be headed in the direction of feeling like a Dallas vs. Philly game. (To be clear, college rivalries will always feel different because many of us actually attended those schools, spent years living in those college towns, etc., whereas I love the Lions but never worked there and don't have a framed diploma from Detroit Lions University. I just think the weight is going to shift a little bit.)
I don't care for whiny Ryan, but I've always liked The Buckeyes.I have always thought that we couldn't really be us were it not for them. At least when it comes to football.
ReplyDeleteSo I say to every Buckeye, everywhere, with a sincere heart, "Congratulations Buckeye! 14 and 2 with a National championship is just a helluvan accomplishment. It's really hard to go undefeated."
Roanman
DeleteI think to truly appreciate the rivalry, you have to respect the other side. Michigan needs OSU, and OSU needs Michigan. It's a symbiotic relationship.
DeleteFun read, thanks for posting so quickly after the game. Gonna indirectly disagree on the content of the fourth paragraph. I *really* wish you would've classed Ohio State with the SEC when discussing the flaunting of amateurism rules. I honestly believe they've been outspending all but maybe Georgia the past several years.
ReplyDeleteYeah, they're all Big Ten schools, but I think NIL has benefited Michigan and Oregon more than OSU. Oregon has all that Nike money, and Michigan obviously has tons of business-world connections.
DeleteCollege football is now NFL for undergraduates. What attracted me to the sport many years ago was the pageantry, regional conferences, quirky trophy games and rivalries, bowl games and arguing over polls. I think they decided it was more important to go after the casual college football fan, many of whom are mostly NFL fans, by making the game mirror NFL more, even if it meant turning off traditional college football fans. I think to be honest it was probably right call based on results last few years. But I don't have to like it!
ReplyDeleteAgree with the post. I think it erodes what's great about college football. What happened this year with Oregon and OSU will happen to Michigan at some point.
ReplyDeleteWe already have an NFL. We don't need an NFL junior. The regular season is still interesting but intensity is just not the same as the old college football, when stakes are lower in regular season. It used to be feeling like a playoff every week, at least at the national scale. But those days are over. Now you can shrug off losses to northern Illinois or Michigan, even at home. Oopsy oh well.
I do think we'll get more "best teams" winning the national title than before because more quality matchups in total, but we will more often than before not get the most deserving.
So congrats I guess to OSU for being the least deserving national champs ever. Still haven't beaten Michigan since 2019 tho!
The current playoff system is designed as if there are still 5 major conferences and with a handful of open slots for deserving runners-up and standouts from smaller conferences.
DeleteMeanwhile, CFB has consolidated to two major power conferences and a bunch of other/lesser conferences. An ideal situation for a 2 team playoff like the BCS. LOL
Over time this system will erode the Michigan - Ohio State rivalry, which is about the last one standing with any meaning any more. But it doesn't matter: those that run the college game are thinking of short-term revenue maximization, and if in 10 years the game is dead they won't care because they'll have moved on to other things.
ReplyDeleteHow can I be so cynical? Because I've seen the exact same thing in the business world: executives come in, do stupid and unnatural things to goose the numbers for their time there, then jump to something else, leaving a carved-out mess. Time and time again.
The next turn of the crank: a 16-team playoff, which will be stupid because six to eight of those 16 won't have any business being in the thing with the top teams.