Michigan played Arkansas State for the first time last Saturday. Here's a look at the ten longest plays of the day for the Wolverines. (Okay, there are thirteen since there's a six-way tie at 13 yards.)
- Kalel Mullings 38-yard run (2024)
- Davis Warren 33-yard pass to Marlin Klein (2024)
- Kalel Mullings 30-yard touchdown run (2024)
- Kalel Mullings 30-yard run (2024)
- Davis Warren 20-yard pass to Colston Loveland (2024)
- Davis Warren 17-yard pass to Fredrick Moore (2024)
- Benjamin Hall 14-yard run (2024)
- Keshaun Harris 13-yard kickoff return
- Semaj Morgan 13-yard run (2024)
- Alex Orji 13-yard run (2024)
- Davis Warren 13-yard run (2024)
- Davis Warren 13-yard pass to Colston Loveland (2024)
- Davis Warren 13-yard pass to Fredrick Moore (2024)
Hit the jump for a couple clips.
Kalel Mullings needs the most carries on this team. pic.twitter.com/iovPN0BU2N
— Shot of Michigan Sports (@shotofms) September 14, 2024
Loveland is out of the game with what’s hopefully nothing serious.
— Due# (@JDue51) September 15, 2024
In steps Marlin Klein - the pride of…./checks notes…Germany🇩🇪 on a well executed seam route. pic.twitter.com/qZO5sSaq6s
Watch 5 come across the formation and insert to block. I like this kid.
— Due# (@JDue51) September 15, 2024
Bonus OL Andrew Gentry 75 with a key block on the playside LB.
And watch the safety make a “business decision” when faced with Kalel Mullings and a full head of steam. pic.twitter.com/KxdZyNQkGg
Re: the safety making a "business decision" ... yeah, his initial contact is a bit timid, but to his credit he ran Mullings down for the tackle. Sure, it was 20 yards after contact, but bless his heart, he ran after Mullings. :-)
ReplyDeleteRe: Davis Warren ... that pass to Marlin Klein looked pretty good. It's a shame Warren has not developed the ability to avoid some bad throwing decisions. If he were at this point in the season without any INTs, we might be having a different conversation.
Lack of explosive plays is an issue with this offense. 4 plays over 20 yards vs a cupcake is not many. Against Fresno it was just 1. Four against Texas (with a couple 22 yarders) would maybe be OK but two came on the last drive of the game, well after the outcome was decided.
ReplyDeleteSeason long pass play is 31 yards to Semaj (last offensive play against Texas). Season long rush play is Mulling's 38 yarders (vs Ark State arm tackles).
Michigan needs to do better going forward, getting the ball downfield and to it's best playmakers.
Five runs ... no Don ... we need more BOOM
ReplyDeleteSo not boom/bust.
Delete4.2 YPC on the season with a long of 12. Success rate strong at 47%.
Deleteno boom
no bust
Wow...Donovan Edwards is finally a tiny bit better than Ty Isaac!
DeleteTwo more posts ... #rentfree ... hey, there's another quote!
Delete*is Lank implying that while our offense needs more explosive plays, that such plays do NOT need to come from Edwards?
Or is he now conceding that YPC is a good stat to judge RB performance? Yet another self own!
YPC is a good metric of overall team effectiveness. It's one of those numbers that by itself for one game might not tell the story, particularly if turnovers lost is also high, but as games add up, a higher YPC correlates well. It's like 3rd down conversion rate: a team with a season average of 50% will generally fare better than one with a 25% rate.
Delete@Anon, the use of YPC is ironic because our board contrarian has argued against its value for years
DeleteIn this case, sure Edwards 4ypc is okay. But still lower than the team average, or any ball carrier on the team ... and there's no Boom, something this offense desperately needs
It's also the 35th best YPC in the Big Ten conference out of players who are averaging at least 4.0 carries per game. That means MOST teams have at least two players ahead of him.
DeleteI think only Iowa and UCLA don't have at least two players with a higher YPC than 4.2. Kalel Mullings is #7 in the conference at 7.5 YPC.
Ah, context ... yes, context matters
Delete@Anon
DeleteYes.
@Thunder
"Donovan Edwards is finally a tiny bit better than Ty Isaac!"
A guy who lacks vision, balance, and can't break tackles is better than Ty Isaac? You must not think much of Isaac in hindsight.
@jelly
"is Lank implying that while our offense needs more explosive plays, that such plays do NOT need to come from Edwards? Or is he now conceding that YPC is a good stat to judge RB performance? Yet another self own!"
keep the fantasies coming!
My take is the same as it was 3 years ago. Don is not a boom/bust back. Not anymore than other backs. But I welcome evidence to prove it.
Here is a fact, not a fantasy: You cannot be boom/bust if you lack boom.
Own your L.
"the use of YPC is ironic because our board contrarian has argued against its value for years"
DeleteThe board contrarian agrees with Anon not jelly. The carry to carry variance is very high and yards gained is a team stat.
YPC has lots of value! YPC is a useful team metric when used at scale. Team YPC over a season -- useful. Even to assess run game effectiveness in a individual game -- useful. To assess individual ball carriers, particularly for small sample sizes, leads to spurious conclusions though. That's how it's often used. The RB does not determine yards gained alone -- the playcall and the blocking and the defenses response are most of it.
Examples:
Vincent Smith's YPC for 4 consecutive years: 5.8. 4.4, 6.0, 2.5.
Karan Higdon's YPC for 4 consecutive months: 4.1, 6.7, 7.4, 3.8
Ty Isaac's YPC from 4 consecutive games: 10.4, 6.7, 5.6, 2.0
These things might tell you whatever you want them to tell you. Or they are just noise.
"there's no Boom, something this offense desperately needs"
YES! Agree with jelly here. Edwards isn't a boom/bust player. It only took 3 years for jelly to figure it out.
Let's see more big plays from the Don!
so many words, but dodged the context, probably on purpose. Two other RBs and our running QB have higher YPC, behind the same OL and against the same opponents. Edwards is half yard behind The Team average
DeleteMisleading? Or just FoS?
#lyinLank